Prediction Markets: Booming Globally, But a Legal Gamble in the Philippines

Published date: Oct 23, 2025

Prediction markets are booming globally — but where do they stand in the Philippines?

We’ve been receiving many queries lately on whether platforms that let users “trade on outcomes” — from elections to sports to pop culture — are permitted under Philippine law. As a securities AND gaming lawyer, this was something I wanted to study deeper.

In our latest Arden Consult Client Alert, I break down how prediction markets have grown into a billion-dollar industry worldwide and why, under current Philippine laws, they fall within the definition of gambling.

Still, there’s room for evolution. If future regulatory developments — such as the establishment of a futures market or new licensing models under PAGCOR or the SEC — take shape, prediction markets may yet find a legitimate place in the Philippine landscape.

We’ve been receiving many queries lately on whether platforms that let users “trade on outcomes” — from elections to sports to pop culture — are permitted under Philippine law. As a securities AND gaming lawyer, this was something I wanted to study deeper.

Category:
Prediction Markets
Legal Insights
Author:
Marie Antonette B. Quiogue
CEO, Head of Legal and Regulatory

Latest Insights and Articles

Enter new markets with clarity and confidence.

Partner with experts who understand regulation, strategy, and growth.

Talk to our experts
Professional woman with shoulder-length hair wearing a black sleeveless top and a gold necklace, smiling against a plain gray background.
Smiling man in a dark suit, white shirt, and striped tie against a light gray background.